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enemy state was surely behind the carnage in New York and Washington.
Only a state really has the capability to carry out such a massive,
complex, and sophisticated operation. And the most obvious state
is Iraq. The U.S. bombs Iraq on a regular basis and enforces an
economic siege whose origins lie in the Gulf War. Indeed, that war
never really ended.
Yet we seem
unable to comprehend the nature of last week's attacks and perhaps
even to deal with them effectively. The focus is on Osama bin Laden.
Somehow, he appears a more likely culprit than Iraq, even as the
two may work together. This confusion has its origins in the Clinton
administration's handling of terrorism, particularly the two bombing
conspiracies that occurred in the first six months of its first
term in office.
The Trade Center
was first attacked on February 26, 1993, in an attempt to topple
New York's tallest tower onto its twin (a job completed last week.)
New York FBI, most notably its head, Jim Fox, who directed the investigation
in New York, believed that Iraq was responsible that it was
a "false flag" operation, run by Iraqi intelligence, with
the Muslim extremists who participated in the plot left behind to
be arrested and take the blame.
The bomb was
huge. It created a crater six-stories deep in the basement floors.
Fox's background was in counterintelligence. He understood that
the violent, but dimwitted individuals he was arresting like
Mohammed Salameh, detained after he returned to the Ryder rental
agency to recover his deposit on the van that had carried the bomb
could not have carried out the attack themselves.
There were
Iraqis all around the fringe of the conspiracy. Indeed, one is an
indicted fugitive, who came from Baghdad before the bombing and
returned there afterwards. The attack occurred on the proximate
anniversary of the Gulf War ceasefire (February 28, a Sunday in
1993) and that war was still a vivid memory.
Thus, there
was good reason to suspect Iraq. And the White House was aware of
it. Yet it came to believe that it could address the terrorism in
New York, without explaining publicly what had happened.
When former
President George Bush visited Kuwait in April, Saddam tried to assassinate
him, a plot thwarted by Kuwaiti officials. At roughly the same time,
New York FBI launched an undercover operation to teach the Muslim
extremists a lesson. An Egyptian informant acted as agent provocateur.
A Sudanese émigré picked up the bait to make "jihad."
His first target was a Manhattan armory. But he had two "friends"
in Sudan's U.N. Mission, intelligence agents, who ended up picking
the targets: the U.N., New York's federal building, and two tunnels.
When the FBI
had the evidence it needed above all the conspirators on
video mixing what they believed to be explosives it arrested
them. Of course, U.S. authorities were aware of the involvement
of Sudanese intelligence, because they were running the plot. The
White House believed that Sudan was fronting for another country,
because U.S.-Sudanese relations were not so hostile then as to justify
terrorism on a scale tantamount to war. It thought in terms of Islamic
fundamentalism and thought of Iran.
Two days after
the arrest of the conspirators in that plot, on June 26, Clinton
attacked Iraqi intelligence headquarters. Publicly, Clinton said
the strike was retaliation for Saddam's attempt to kill Bush. But
he believed it would take care of the New York bombing conspiracies
too. It would deter Saddam from all further terrorism, while
serving as warning to Sudan and Iran for their roles in the second
plot. By dealing with state involvement in terrorism in this fashion,
Clinton avoided riling the American public, which might have demanded
that the U.S. do a great deal more if it had understood what
had happened, or was thought to have happened.
For Iran was,
almost certainly, not the hidden hand in the second plot,
whose first target was the U.N. Iran had no quarrel with the U.N.
For Iran, the most important issue in its dealings with the U.N.
was the Security Council resolution ending the Iran-Iraq war. That
resolution declared Iraq the aggressor and stipulated that Iraq
owed Iran tens of billions of dollars in reparations.
And Iraq has
close ties with Sudan. Both are Sunni, Arab states. Sudan supported
Iraq during the Gulf War. Afterwards, Khartoum became a major base
for Iraqi intelligence. Iraq has an enormous quarrel with the U.N.,
under whose auspices the Gulf War was fought and sanctions maintained.
Iraq was far more likely than Iran to have been behind Sudan in
the second plot.
The strike
on Iraqi intelligence headquarters did deter Saddam for a while,
yet as this author advised Martin Indyk in December 1994, when he
was national-security adviser on the Middle East, it would not do
so forever. Indeed, even as we spoke, Ramzi Yousef the mastermind
of the Trade Center bombing and an Iraqi intelligence agent
was plotting to bomb a dozen U.S. airplanes in the Philippines.
The enormous folly of the Clinton White House was to believe that
Saddam would be so impressed by that one cruise-missile strike that
he would undertake no further attacks on the U.S.
The Clinton
administration's sly way of handling the 1993 bombing plots gave
rise to the fraudulent notion that there was a new kind of terrorism
not carried out by states, but undertaken by individuals or "loose
networks." Yet there was nothing new about the terrorism. What
was new was how the U.S. handled it. Clinton dealt surreptitiously
with the national-security issue of state involvement and very publicly
with the criminal question of the guilt or innocence of individuals
through trials. Predictably, more terrorism followed and
the role of states in those attacks was never addressed. That led
directly to last week's tragedy, as well as to our inability to
recognize their real author.
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