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taly's
leaders keep sounding wobbly in their support for the U.S.-led war
on terrorism. A few days after September 11, Defense Minister Antonio
Martino told a TV audience that Italian troops would not join the
coalition against terrorism. He retracted his remarks the next day,
but left a lasting impression of less-than-Blairite zeal. The week
before last, the center-left opposition split over a parliamentary
resolution backing the strikes on Afghanistan: the Greens and the
Communists chose to condemn them instead. And last Wednesday, Foreign
Minister Renato Ruggiero called it "important that military
operations in Afghanistan end the soonest, achieving their goal,"
adding that the bombing "has a political price because ...
civilian victims have repercussions on the public opinion of both
Arab and Western countries." The Wall Street Journal
noted that Ruggiero's statement was the "first such call for
an end of the U.S. military operations to come from a major NATO
ally."
Fervently pro-American
Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi has pledged that his country stands
"shoulder to shoulder" with the U.S., and last week he
traveled to Washington just to make that point. Yet even Berlusconi
has said that he hopes Italy will not be asked to send troops to
Afghanistan.
It won't be.
The U.S. has no need of Italian men or firepower to beat the Taliban
or any other conventional enemy, and has no plans to use them for
that purpose. (At most, the Pentagon has talked of freeing up American
soldiers keeping the peace in the Balkans by replacing them with
Italian troops.) U.S. bases on Italian soil are potentially important
to Operation Enduring Freedom, but there's no question of losing
access to those that didn't happen even during the Kosovo
war, when the government in Rome was headed by an ex-Communist who
opposed the bombing of Serbia.
So why should
America care if Italian politicians hedge and quibble?
Because, as
we've heard ceaselessly repeated over the last six weeks, the struggle
against Osama bin Laden and his ilk is a "new kind of war,"
in which the fighting in Central Asia is just a highly conspicuous
opening phase. In the longer term, it's a war in which Italy is
bound to be a crucial battleground.
Italy's proximity
to the Balkans and North Africa, and its long, highly porous, border
make it a natural gateway into Europe for bin Laden's al Qaeda network.
According to the U.S. Treasury Department, the Islamic Cultural
Institute in Milan is "the most important base of al Qaeda
in Europe a station from which weapons, men and money travel
the whole world." Italy's Muslim population of over one million
offers plenty of water for bin Laden's fish to swim in. Last Wednesday,
Public Administration Minister Franco Frattini told parliament that
there are at least seven "epicenters" of Islamic extremism
in the country, stretching from Naples in the south all the way
to Turin in the north.
The government
has already moved to act against the backyard threat. Earlier this
month, police arrested two al Qaeda suspects in Milan. A special
committee will now monitor financial transactions in order to track
the flow of suspected terrorism funding. And Italian terrorism laws
have been expanded to cover groups with foreign targets. The considerable
expertise that authorities have gained in fighting domestic political
extremists and the Mafia, they can now use against al Qaeda and
similar organizations.
Fighting the
war on this less visible front, while politically appealing in a
country with little taste for military action, nonetheless carries
big risks. Does anyone believe that Osama bin Laden will be a good
sport about the dismantling of his network?
As General
Fabio Mini, chief of staff of NATO forces in the southern Mediterranean,
acknowledged recently in interview with Il Nuovo: "The
terrorist threat to our country is real, not only because of our
proximity to the international centers of terrorism, but because
of our official support for the struggle against terrorism."
However, the general warned, implicitly recognizing his compatriots'
temptation to tread lightly, "We will only become a worthwhile
target if we show ourselves to be one of the weak points of the
coalition in the struggle against terrorism."
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