WALL STREET WOBBLES
We thought about making fun of the New York Times editorial page earlier
this week. Mr. Starr, its editorialist had written, was not just "an
obsessive personality" but "seems determined to write himself into the
history books as a narcissistic legal crank." He should "shut up" but he
"keeps flapping around," so the Senate "needs to find a way to slap Mr.
Starr back into line." This, from a paper that was calling Tom DeLay
"thuggish" a few weeks back. The explanation for this temper tantrum can
be gleaned from a sentence in the penultimate paragraph: "Indeed,
virtually everyone in the capital except Mr. Starr seems to know that
censure-plus-admission, speedily arrived at, would be a far better
outcome for the country than a trial for either a sitting or former
President." Of course, "virtually everyone in the capital" believes no
such thing, unless two-thirds of the city's Republicans have evacuated
while we weren't looking, and the Times editorialist's rage stems from
the world's refusal to conform to his wishes, no matter how often
reiterated.
Only at the Times, we thought. But no. It is our sad duty to report that
the editors of the Wall Street Journal -- who earlier this week had the
very good sense to quote the Washington Bulletin -- have descended to the
level of playground taunts in their defense of the "finding of fact"
resolution. Sarcasm is their weapon of choice, as when they describe
critics of the resolution as an "amazing legion of sages" and "our
Constitutional priests." David Tell's brilliant and sometimes eloquent
exposition of the case against the resolution can be dismissed because
he is, after all, one of "the Beltway conservatives gathered at the
Weekly Standard" (as if the finding-of-fact idea wasn't precisely a
Beltway strategem!). All of us have a "death wish" and "should face
reality."
The motive for all this table-pounding is the usual one: the Journal's
case is weak. The editorial gives that away with its first words, a
much-misused quotation from Justice Robert Jackson: "There is danger
that, if the Court does not temper its doctrinaire logic with a little
practical wisdom, it will convert the constitutional Bill of Rights into
a suicide pact." The dictum that the Constitution is not a suicide pact
is meant to avert grave danger to the country. The Journal is concerned
to prevent Republicans from committing political "suicide." We can
understand why the good people over at the RNC might think that the two
scenarios are equivalent, but the Journal?
The fact-finders have unearthed one precedent, from 1804, and the
Journal triumphantly declares that the surviving Founders "were still
alive and able to object had they cared to." Will the Journal next
editorialize in favor of bringing back the Alien and Sedition Act? And
then there's the Journal's dumbest argument: that the "finding of fact"
resolution is permissible because the Senate is "entitled" to the "clear
Constitutional guarantee of free speech." Would that the Journal returns
to the sensible recommendations and thoughtful tone that usually
distinguish it in future exercises of its free speech rights.
GOP PICK-ME-UP
Rep. Tom Davis, chairman of the National Republican Congressional
Committee, said that he plans to share plenty of bad news with House
colleagues at their three-day retreat. "I am a realist and I am going to
give a sobering assessment of where we are and what we need to do to get
where we need to be," he told Roll Call. The NRCC is $4 million in debt
and GOP poll numbers look bleak.
With that in mind, the Republican National Committee collected several
of the most GOP-friendly polls issued recently. Zogby finds that 40
percent of likely voters would vote Republican in Congressional
elections held today, versus 39 percent for Democrats. Fox News says
that 70 percent of registered voters believe President Clinton perjured
himself before a grand jury, and Zogby claims 55 percent of likely
voters think that's impeachable. The Los Angeles Times shows Texas Gov.
George W. Bush leading Vice President Al Gore 57 percent to 39 percent
among adults, and Elizabeth Dole beating Gore 50 percent to 42 percent.
Finally, Rasmussen Research reports that 68 percent of adults favor a 10
percent across-the-board tax cut.
UN MOMENTO, POR FAVOR
Texas Gov. George W. Bush likes to brag about his strong support among
Hispanic voters. Exit polls last November showed 49 percent of Hispanics
supporting his re-election. Bush's official web page touts this number,
and it is a key component of the argument for the Republicans'
nominating Bush for President. But now it turns out that this figure may
be inflated. The Voter News Service exit poll used by television
networks and the Associated Press to call races on election night isn't
designed primarily to analyze voter demographics. It makes an
attempt--that's where Bush's number come from--but it is an imprecise
tool. Rice University political scientist Bob Stein, who helped VNS
design its Texas questionnaire last year, recently told the Ft. Worth
Star-Telegram that a closer examination of individual precinct results
and subsequent weighting suggests that Bush's Hispanic support was
actually in the high 30s or low 40s. An exit poll by the San
Antonio-based William Velasquez Institute pegged it at 39 percent.
That's still outstanding for a Republican, and close to President
Reagan's 1984 performance.