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year, over President Clinton's objection, Congress easily passed
legislation to eliminate the death tax, with the
support of 65 House Democrats and nine Democratic senators. It should
now be smooth sailing for the popular measure spearheaded by President
Bush, but over the past few weeks, changes on both ends of Capitol
Hill have given new life to death-tax defenders.
With a president only too happy to host a rose-garden signing ceremony,
members of Congress no longer have a free vote in favor of burying
the death tax, and opponents of elimination who in the past relied
on a presidential veto have mounted a spirited campaign to preserve
the tax. They will have plenty of time to make their case because
the priority given to income-tax rate cuts means that elimination
of the death tax is scheduled for the second phase of the GOP's
tax-relief agenda.
Only about 2 percent of estates are subject to a levy, ranging from
37 to 55 percent, imposed on assets worth more than $675,000, but
thousands of others spend thousands of dollars to avoid a tax generally
viewed as an unfair double (or triple) taxation. In a recent survey
by the polling company for 60 Plus Association, 77 percent of the
public favored immediate repeal of the death tax.
In the first instance of a Bush administration official singing
from a different song sheet, John DiIulio in early February expressed
his support for only a modification in the tax. The University of
Pennsylvania professor, who had just been tapped to head the president's
new office of faith-based initiatives, expressed the concern that
its outright repeal would reduce charitable giving.
Now, an elite group advocating for a tax it has no intention of
paying agrees with DiIulio. In mid-February, over 200
| Charities
don't benefit from the death tax, but other interests
clearly do. |
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wealthy
individuals, including William H. Gates Sr., George Soros, Ben Cohen
of Ben & Jerry's, plus a couple of Rockefellers, devoted some of
their pocket change to taking out newspaper ads opposing the repeal
of the death tax on the grounds that it would eliminate a powerful
incentive to donate to charity. But supporters of repeal aren't
overly worried by the billionaires' caucus. Dan Danner, vice president
of the National Federation of Independent Business, reports that
his members are more energized in favor of repeal as a result
of the effort led by the senior Mr. Gates.
Mr. Danner wonders who in the billionaires' pro-death-tax lobby
doesn't spend a penny on financial planners, but blithely acquiesces
in a government grab of 55 percent of his assets. He also explains
that his small-business owners recognize that someone with $10 billion
can give away half and still be left with a tidy sum.
There is little reason to be concerned that a total repeal of the
death tax will inhibit charitable giving. Charitable donations,
from all donors including bequests, increased following the 1981
and 1986 federal tax cuts. In fact, President Reagan's economic
agenda was a boon for charities, which saw their donations increase
by 16 percent between 1980 and 1986. Individuals shared their income
gains with charities, and less money siphoned off by taxation allowed
for larger gifts.
Experts in philanthropy at Boston College's Social Welfare Research
Institute predict that elimination of the death tax will spur the
growth of national and personal wealth while encouraging Americans
to give out of the goodness of their hearts, not simply to dodge
an annoying tax. And Americans have become increasingly generous
in recent years. From 1992 to 1997, while the value of estates with
a surviving spouse grew 65 percent and bequests to heirs rose 57
percent, charitable bequests rose by 110 percent.
Charities don't benefit from the death tax, but other interests
clearly do. With the threat of a presidential signature this year,
opponents of repeal are gathering steam. Many states have a death
tax linked to the federal version and some of them are now objecting
to the potential loss of state revenues. Elsewhere, a coalition
called Americans for Sensible Estate Tax solutions, backed by life-insurance
underwriters, is organizing a raft of charities, universities, and
states to fight elimination of the death tax. Life-insurance companies
presumably think it's "sensible" to buy expensive policies to pay
off estate taxes, rather than force heirs to sell family farms and
businesses to pay Uncle Sam.
Nervous supporters of the death tax's repeal have watched their
adversaries push for a modification of the tax, only to see little
response from the White House. Enemies of repeal have started a
coalition of their own which met at the White House at the end of
February. About 20 different groups are represented in the coalition.
But a confident Mr. Danner of the NFIB says, "The President couldn't
have been clearer, the estate tax should be eliminated."
Rep. Jennifer Dunn (R., Wash.), who is the chief House sponsor of
the death-tax repeal bills that have previously passed Congress,
is also convinced that President Bush remains "absolutely committed
to repeal." She is aware of her opponents' stepped-up assault, and
the fact that GOP tax relief no longer just weds death tax repeal
to marriage-penalty relief, but now includes a more ambitious goal
of across-the-board rate cuts. The rate cuts leave $600 billion
for other relief. Rep. Dunn's bill doubles the size of exempted
estates to $1.3 million, and phases out the estate tax over 10 years
at a potential cost of about $200 billion.
In the judgment of one White House aide, President Bush is winning
the tax battle. This aide was delighted to see a Saturday Night
Live spoof about the president feature the poster-sized check
for $1,600 that Bush uses to illustrate his plan's effect on the
average family, because that's "break-through." He allows that the
recent assault on repeal of the death tax has gone unanswered, but
explains that the staff is still learning how to use the White House
microphone. "The President is responsible for everything, but can't
talk about everything all the time."
President Bush will triumphantly sign a tax cut this year. Whether
it includes a full repeal of the death tax will depend on how George
Bush defines victory.
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